What Can We Expect From The Next Decade of Technology?

Kaku’s Caveman Law:  Now that we have eradicated most technical limits to everyday use, the most important law to pay attention to is what Michio Kaku calls the “caveman law”, which can be stated as follows:

Whenever there is a conflict between modern technology and the desires or our primitive ancestors, these primitive desires win each time.

It is this last law, riding the wave of the previous three, that will drive the next decade of technology.  Our devices will become not only vastly more powerful, but also more natural and will eventually disappear altogether.   Effective computing will become less dependent on expertise and more a function of desire.

A New Digital Paradigm

While the digital laws may seem to be working steadily on our behalf, the numbers can be deceiving because they actually represent accelerating returns.  Simply follow the pace of Moore’s law alone and you will quickly realize that we will advance roughly the same amount in the next 18 months as we did in the previous thirty years.

At some point, a difference in degree becomes a difference in kind.  Having exhausted most of the possibilities we saw for computers a decade ago, we are beginning to focus our technology on completely new tasks, such as nanotechnologygenomics and energy.  Clearly, we are entering a new digital paradigm.

More: http://www.forbes.com/sites/gregsatell/2013/06/29/what-can-we-expect-from-the-next-decade-of-technology/2/


About basicrulesoflife

Year 1935. Interests: Contemporary society problems, quality of life, happiness, understanding and changing ourselves - everything based on scientific evidence.
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